Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.240540 0.272711 0.307062 0.346414 0.390185 0.437318 0.491847
2025-09-28 0.196252 0.239154 0.287878 0.347099 0.416912 0.496361 0.593378
2025-10-05 0.167530 0.217281 0.276846 0.352960 0.447137 0.559302 0.702414
2025-10-12 0.147605 0.202346 0.271012 0.362673 0.480920 0.627328 0.821184
2025-10-19 0.129458 0.186768 0.261789 0.365978 0.505516 0.684346 0.928986
2025-10-26 0.116513 0.176105 0.257186 0.373865 0.535422 0.748863 1.049315
2025-11-02 0.106735 0.168396 0.255318 0.384504 0.568826 0.819055 1.180343
2025-11-09 0.094913 0.156195 0.245624 0.382764 0.584167 0.864780 1.279820
2025-11-16 0.085089 0.145757 0.237235 0.381700 0.599645 0.910695 1.381068
2025-11-23 0.076508 0.136212 0.229105 0.379958 0.613393 0.954150 1.480220
2025-11-30 0.071253 0.131398 0.227675 0.388011 0.641828 1.019852 1.614257
2025-12-07 0.064993 0.124185 0.221682 0.388181 0.657766 1.067313 1.722987
2025-12-14 0.059167 0.117280 0.215855 0.388574 0.674718 1.118216 1.841232
2025-12-21 0.054007 0.110982 0.210443 0.389119 0.691755 1.169927 1.963098
2025-12-28 0.050342 0.107015 0.208642 0.395487 0.718499 1.237970 2.113424
2026-01-04 0.047677 0.104635 0.209380 0.406165 0.752877 1.319644 2.288849
2026-01-11 0.044258 0.100389 0.206319 0.409785 0.775254 1.382652 2.436754
2026-01-18 0.041825 0.097843 0.206149 0.418484 0.806741 1.461896 2.614318
2026-01-25 0.039961 0.096264 0.207635 0.430231 0.844097 1.552436 2.814128
2026-02-01 0.036683 0.091297 0.202094 0.428303 0.856649 1.601213 2.945658
2026-02-08 0.033799 0.086854 0.197179 0.427123 0.870311 1.652244 3.082779
2026-02-15 0.031110 0.082531 0.192109 0.425196 0.882307 1.700647 3.217016
2026-02-22 0.029661 0.080917 0.192503 0.434094 0.915049 1.786955 3.420392